Recently, I gave a keynote speech at the VINT Symposium. VINT is a very cool thinktank that studies the interaction economy. My fellow keynote speakers were Arnold Heertje, one of Holland’s most eminent economists, and Don Tapscott, author of Wikinomics, and one of our biggest influences here at the Lab (there’s a video of this talk here).

My talk was focused on what we have been thinking about at the Lab this year: Capitalism 2.0. The video isn’t up yet - when it is , I’ll post it here. For now, here’s a very nice Q&A session preceding it.

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In recent talks and lectures, I’ve been discussing how advertising is evolving. It’s a very interesting story.

Consider the debate going on at Ad Blocker Plus. The developer feels guilty about foregone ad revenue for publishers, and wants to make a fairer approach to ad blocking. That fairer approach will let people express their preferences toward ads - it will factor in whether consumers think an ad is lame, cool, or insanely great.

What’s really going on here?

Consider Google for a second. What’s Google’s secret? Yes, it’s a got a great search engine. But the real cash cow is this: it serves ads that are vastly more relevant than rivals. How? Google doesn’t just display the ads that advertisers pay for. It also factors in whether or not people actually click on ads. 

Ad Blocker Plus is on the verge of turning into an open network that (finally) does the same as Google does: massively boost ad relevance, stripping out the useless junk - by factoring in whether or not people find ads useful or not. Ad Blocker plus is, almost unwittingly, making the world’s first reverse ad network. It doesn’t aggregate ads - it aggregates people’s preferences about ads.

All of which brings us squarely back to our big theme for this year: Capitalism 2.0, which Guy has been discussing in a series of excellent posts here. The ad industry is built on an industrial era principle: waging war (on people).

War - conflict - is about force. Peace is about choice.

Google revolutionized the ad industry by waging peace. Imperfectly, certainly. Yet, when consumer preferences were factored into the value of ads, the result was disruptively more relevant ads. Advertisers, publishers - and, finally, people - were all better off. Now, Ad Blocker Plus is on the verge of waging an economically more valuable kind of peace: a more open, broader peace, which can boost relevance more significantly.

That’s a good thing for everyone - because it creates better incentives for everyone in the media value chain. And those incentives, ultimately, will lead to greater opportunities to create authentically valuable ads, that can make media itself more sustainable

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guys-panel2So, Sustainable Futures 09 - our commitment to helping companies move towards a more engaging version of CR - is in full swing. 

And this week, we were presenting some of the findings at the World Retail Congress, in Barcelona. 

From our research, retailers are in pretty good shape when it comes to consumer perception around sustainability, and how this perception is impacting on brand value. But the real joined-up approach is still missing. As mentioned in my speech, sustainability is a tricky fellow to get fully embedded within the business in a coherent and consistent way, for a very obvious reason. Sustainability, because of its broad applicability, is inherently ‘horizontal’. But most things business - capital, power, knowledge - flow vertically (and in silos). This structure helps keep firewalls, politics and uncertainty rampant and often helps senior levels of management keep the troubles from their doors. Ironically, this obsession with the vertical is stopping many businesses making the most of sustainability: a level of activity that is holistic, consistent and transversal, showing consumers it’s real and here to stay. 

To try and get this across, I mentioned that maybe we should look at sustainability as the new IT. IT was once annexed to the basement, full of terrifying jargon and staffed by people you’d think twice before putting in front of a client or customer. Now think about who looks after your efforts in sustainability. Any similarities? IT’s truly blossomed and become a key C-suite driver - because it stopped being about the jargon and became about the benefits it could deliver: new markets, new consumers, new business models. Tackled in the right way, sustainability could be the same. Which should be good news for retailers, as they truly led the charge on recognising what IT could do when embedded intelligently across the whole organisation. 

I have copied the speech I made to the conference below, which also includes some headline figures from our research. There’s also a photo from the panel, although by the looks of it, whilst Lucy Neville-Rolfe from Tesco, David Shriver from Carrefour, Andrew Jennings from Woolworth SA and Sean Ford from Oracle continued to debate the merits of sustainability for retailers, I suddenly remembered I’d left the iron on in my hotel room…

G

World Retail Congress, May 6th. 

Opening Session, with Oracle.

The title of this session is Making Sustainability Good Business. We at Havas Media are committed to this objective, which is why we have spent the last 18 months working on our research-backed Sustainable Futures project. In a nutshell, Sustainable Futures is about helping forward-thinking companies lead and benefit from sustainability, by understanding how they can ensure sustainability efforts convert into durable, sustainable brand value.

We have no doubt - like probably many of you here - that the sustainability debate has moved front and centre for most organisations. We’ve seen catastrophic failure in some sectors that confirms the destructive effects of unsustainable business practices. Ever the optimists, we’d say that the banking crisis has had one major positive effect - it has made painfully apparent that the habit to externalise of costs, the inability to distinguish between risk and uncertainty, and the engrained reluctance to think longer-term, does not, ultimately, make good business sense. 

As such, when we talk about sustainability we are talking essentially about a firm’s ability to survive and thrive in the future. Of course, this ability to thrive is dependent on recognising the full gamut of financial, social and environmental influences and impacts of the firm. And it is key to stress, that we see sustainability not as something that can be annexed to a specific department or to a particular product. It needs to be seen as something more fundamental - elemental to the business. And this is not easy. Due to its applicability to all functions and processes, sustainability is inherently horizontal in nature. But business - based functional specialisms, power and capital, inherently flow vertically. So to make sustainability fundamental to the business requires challenges many status quos. But this process of embedding a strategic imperative across the organisation has happened before.

For sustainability to make good business, there’s a strong argument that we need to view it as the new IT. Once a niche, tech-heavy function annexed to the basement and populated with jargon and people you’d think twice about putting in front of your customers, IT is now a universal horizontal business driver and represented at the highest levels of the business. It is focused on what it enables, facilitating better, deeper and more timely products and services, and is instrumental in all the benefits these developments deliver.

Approached in the right way, and with the right mindset, sustainability has the potential to do the same - we believe sustainability - with a number of caveats attached - can be good business. And we’re pretty certain consumers think the same.

 If we agree there are three distinct stakeholders in this equation, this sustainability troika - government, business and the consumer/civil society - then we believe the latter - the consumer/civil society absolutely has the power to transform economies and markets into more sustainable processes. 

Consumers - as a part of civil society - represent the most compelling long-term business case for becoming a sustainable business.

The assumption there of course, is that consumers care about this. But do they? Especially at the moment, in the midst of financial uncertainty and what most agree is a very different, more fundamental recession?

Working with GlobeScan, we spoke to more than 22,000 consumers, across 10 markets during December 08 and January 09 - so our timing - by luck rather than judgement - was perfect to answer this question.

And the answer these consumers gave us is very clear. Consumers are still extremely concerned about a host of issues that are attributable to unsustainable practices. More than one consumer in three is ‘extremely concerned’ about environmental pollution, water shortages, poverty and inequality, the depletion of natural resources, and of course climate change. 

Despite the current financial mayhem and the subsequent personal impacts, consumers are not losing sight of these longer-term issues. Rather than dismissing sustainability in the face of economic uncertainty, it appears consumers are recognising that much of this uncertainty has been caused by a lack of sustainability.

Consumers are extremely familiar with the term sustainability: nearly 90% of consumers recognise the term and can offer a definition that stretches beyond the environmental issues today.

Beyond familiarity with the term, consumers are also embracing sustainability. Significant majorities see sustainability as positive:  for more than 70% of consumers, it represents the future, balance, integrity, health and opportunity. 

But where does business fit in? 

Well, right in the middle, is the answer consumers give us. 

When asked if business should be active in finding solutions to the environmental and social challenges facing us all, 80% agreed unreservedly. 

A similar proportion respects companies that are being socially and environmentally responsible. And nearly 2/3rds of consumers believe they can actually change the behaviour of your company to be more responsible. It cannot be said that sustainability remains a fringe interest for an ethically-minded minority of consumers.

This represents a colossal opportunity for business, the spoils of which are clear. Even in this environment, 48% claim to be ready to pay a premium for goods and services they consider to be responsibly produced. 

But there is an authenticity caveat here. Two-thirds strongly believes any activity is purely an image-led initiative. So maybe here we are catching a glimpse as to why the ‘green premium’ argument is still so unproven: it is not a case of consumers being fickle, but rather businesses being inconsistent and insincere. 

Consumers are becoming increasingly active around what they perceive to be responsible business. More than two thirds will go out and find out more about you company; a similar number tell us they frequently punish companies that they consider to be irresponsible. 80% tell us they frequently reward those they consider to be responsible. 

So consumers now reward more than they punish. We believe the importance of this shift cannot be underestimated. Because if consumers are now looking to endorse more than to boycott, companies can enter into a radically different dialogue with their consumers - dialogue that moves away from the defensive and risk-oriented, towards the optimistic and engaging. We could also see this new dialogue initiated by completely different companies - if it is now becoming far more about responsibility rather than culpability, any forward-thinking business can engage.

But finding the consumer with whom you are going to open up this dialogue, is not easy. Not because there are so few of them - we have already seen high levels of engagement - but because their beliefs and expectations are so diverse, and not in any way divisible by traditional demographics.

Sustainable Futures 09 has discovered 5 types of consumer in this current climate. Critics, Devotees, Hostages, Sceptics and the Disengaged. Without going into too much detail, these consumer types have been defined by their activity around sustainability and their enthusiasm around sustainability. By enthusiasm, we mean a willingness to learn more and engage further. I’d like to mention a few words about three of these groups as I think they are very important to retailers. 

Devotees, as the name suggests, are already on board. They predominantly believe what you tell them and look to reward you for those efforts. They are active and enthusiastic. Devotees are slightly more visible amongst female, higher educated consumers. Devotees also represent more than one consumer in five. 

The same proportion of consumers - just over 20% - are Disengaged. This group shows low levels of enthusiasm - so no desire to learn more or engage further with the debate. But they are very active - very prone to reward or punish. So there’s one consumer in five actively factoring in beliefs about environmental and social issues around your brand, but with almost zero interest in actually learning about those issues. The Disengaged are more visible amongst younger consumers. Disengaged consumers are also the largest segment in the US.

In between these groups, are what we call Hostages. Consumers who feel trapped by the issues and unable to act. Extremely concerned, but unsure what they can do, Hostages are extremely active in terms of factoring these issues into their purchase decisions, but again, are unable to move forward and build coherent arguments upon which to base those decisions, due to confusion and fear. 

In other words, only one in five consumers actively engaged in this issue are refining their knowledge and understanding. Twice as many consumers are similarly active, yet unable or unwilling to engage further. Again, the role of business to educate and engage consumers - to unleash that latent sustainability - is clear - as are the rewards for doing so.

The good news is that consumers perceive the retail sector to be working relatively hard in this area. When looking at impact and effort to reduce impact - across both the social and environmental spheres, retailers are perceived to be low impact and high effort. In fact, in many markets, the only sector considered to be working harder to ameliorate their impact on society and the environment, is the food sector. 

I should mention that some of the retailers we explored include: Walmart, Tesco, Asda, Carrefour, Kmart, Marks & Spencer, Auchan, Intermarché and here in Spain, El Corte Ingles.

Understanding what consumers think about a sector - or indeed a brand - is only half the story. We also wanted to understand how sustainability - or rather a perception of a performance around sustainability - impacts on the brand value for the company. As consumers become more and more aware of the issues relating to the sustainability debate - as consumers move towards being Devotees, we believe it will be those companies that not only excel in sustainable practices, but excel in embedding sustainable practices as part of their brand promise, that will thrive in a sustainable future. 

This has also allowed us to create what we call the Sustainable Futures Quotient. We believe this metric is pretty important, since it captures not only performance, but contribution to brand value. So a high SFQ represents a strong positioning to take advantage of this mass-transition and make sustainability good business.

Of the 60-or so brands within the project, a food company currently has the highest SFQ at the all-market level - Walmart has the 5th highest SFQ. Here in Spain, El Corte Ingles has the 3rd highest. In the UK, the first 3 positions in the 20 brands analysed for SFQs are all retailers - M&S, Tesco and Asda. 

So it seems many retailers already see sustainability as a route to good business.

As we would expect to see, a number of sustainability attributes that we assign to the marketplace  - so responsible marketing, fair prices, the sale of healthy products and good customer service - are found to be very important to retailer brands. And in most cases, the performance is perceived to be strong. In other words, those parts of the sustainability debate are important to consumers, their perception is of good performance, and there is a positive impact on brand value.

However, looking at a collection of attributes that represent the environment, we see weaker performances. Despite significant efforts from certain retailers to lead on sustainable store design, operations and suppliers, for example, these and many others are not registering with consumers - and are damaging brand value. Remember, this is consumer perception, so there is either an issue with actual performance, or education and awareness. 

We also see perceived ‘failures’ in the workplace - employee pay, career opportunities - not just for direct employees, but also those of their suppliers. So the boundaries of influence for the retailers is clearly being challenged by consumers.

So despite being at the front of the pack in terms of the 8 sectors we looked at, there is still a lot to do - and a lot of opportunity being wasted. 

Already regarded as proactive in this area, the willingness from consumers to endorse and reward, should act as a colossal incentive for you to continue to move forward and differentiate around sustainability. Awareness and education - which must involve sectoral collaborations and partnerships between retailers and manufacturers - are essential if the consumer element of our sustainability troika is to fuel change. Retailers can lead this process and reap the benefits. Frequency of purchase, price points and deep existing consumer loyalty, allows for retailers to offer consumers the most accessible step-up to more sustainable consumption, quickly cementing behaviour change, and potentially locking in longer-term consumer loyalty. 

To return to the earlier parallel, your sector saw the potential and embedded IT, making it a core capability and an strategic enabler to transform your business. You focused on the benefits it could deliver - new markets, new consumers - a new way of doing business. You were clearly right. Approached with a similar mindset, the same opportunity now exists with sustainability - to make an holistic, embedded and strategic approach to sustainability not just good business, but the only business. Thank you.

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Recently, I spoke at the Second International Venture Capital in Emerging Markets Conference, alongside people like Tim Draper. The point of my talk was to discuss how investment theses - especially in media and technology - should change, in response to the economic crisis.

In a world where capitalism is changing, the business models and value chains most investors know are fast being devalued. Investing, for example, in better ad-serving is unlikely to yield significant returns - because a better kind of economy demands a more productive kind of advertising.  

It was a great conference, with a good mix of investors, entrepreneurs, and observers, held at a very nice location on the banks of the Bosphorus. Thanks to the Golden Horn Ventures team for having me - I will post video files when they are up.

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As Kavita has mentioned, we have just returned from a trip to Delhi, where we took part in the IHT’s Sustainable Luxury Summit: we were fortunate to be part of a very impressive line-up of speakers and I undoubtedly had the worst fitting suit of them all. 

As you can imagine, the event was full of some very grand and beautifully produced rhetoric, which is just what one would expect from companies who excel in the luxury sector. The whole conference was an attempt to position luxury not as the laggards of sustainable practice, but rather the heroes. There are many people who would struggle to swallow that argument.

But in theory at least, the argument is quite strong, for one reason. If we’re all to adopt more sustainable lifestyles, then sustainability has to become more aspirational for everyone. It cannot be about less of this, fewer of that, infrequent trips to the other etc. It has to be about more of something.

More of something.

If there is one thing luxury brands do well, it’s making people want their products. It’s about people  sensing they’re getting more for their money. It’s about people buying an experience, rather than the box and contents. And it’s about authenticity.

These are all qualities that ALL brands need to recognise if they’re to derive the strongest, longest, most durable business case from sustainability.

But that’s the theory. At the moment, luxury brands are in no way leveraging their well-honed ability to engage with consumers in this way. And as a result, few consumers associate luxury brands with authentic efforts in this area - this is clearly seen in our soon-to-be-out-there research project Sustainable Futures 09, and was supported by some interesting stakeholder work presented at the conference by De Beers and The Ledbury Group. 

It seems the problem with luxury brands is that they do not know how to shepherd efforts in sustainability, into long term brand value. To put it another way, they do not seem able to make it relevant for their consumers, past a sense of duty or obligation. This was never more striking that when Monsieur Blanckaert from Hermés presented to the room. After an elegant and eloquent 20 mins of inspiring rhetoric, the audience was invited to ask questions. One chap - who actually works for Hermés - asked whether the famed Orange box (I didn’t even know about the orange box…) was getting in the way of the group’s sustainable efforts. In other words, all that cardboard, tissue paper and packaging could be perceived to be a step away from a more sustainable business, not a step towards.

A perfectly fine question. And a pretty obvious one.

But the response was poor. In fact, there wasn’t a response. Monsieur Blanckaert could not explain the role of the box in the company’s sustainable future. Except to say it was not going anywhere and would remain a key part of the company (which, judging by his reaction to the question, is more than could be said for the future of the poor guy who asked the question). 

In one fell swoop, this highlighted the challenge. The orange box IS Hermés (apparently). But the orange box plays no part in their sustainability strategy. If the two remained divorced, how on earth are consumers every going to link sustainable practices to their association with the brand? How is Hermés going to drive long term durable value from sustainability, if it sits at odds with the very central tenet of their brand promise - the orange box? 

Brands - not just luxury brands - have to find ways to imbue their brand promise with this stuff. Otherwise it will never be considered authentic and will remain an annexed also-ran to the central proposition. 

And before anyone gets out their diamond-encrusted mallet to wallop me over head for attacking such a prestigious brand and offering nothing constructive, let me say this. If the orange box is so integral to the Hermés brand, then the company is already in a strong position to derive brand value from sustainable endeavours. In order for sustainability to become an aspirational, fundamental part of the orange box experience, then take the orange box into those environments that will benefit from more sustainable practices: make it an aspirational, fundamental part of those practices. Make the orange box synonymous with sustainable efforts, not just in terms of materials and processes, but in support of projects, processes, initiatives and endeavours that bring long-lasting, real benefit. Use it as a beacon for hope and lens through which to see how to help. If luxury is all about buying an experience (albeit in an orange box) then make the packaging a key part of that experience. 

As we mentioned at the conference, luxury brands excel at creating an experience - an experience that includes the moment of purchase, but stretches so far back and forth around that moment.  As consumers become more discerning when it comes to luxury purchases, wouldn’t it be one of the most luxurious things you can do to buy something that encapsulates your feelings and thoughts for how the world should be? Isn’t that an experience you’d pay good money for? I would. For those luxury brands that can tell that story, that can weave those messages into the very heart of their brand, that can present such authenticity, there really is an opportunity to make sustainability aspirational and become heroes in the process.

G

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Last week, Guy Champniss (Director of Business Insights, Havas Media) and I attended the IHT Sustainable Luxury Summit at The Imperial, New Delhi. The conference attracted high level speakers and an audience of over 450 delegates.

We participated in a session called Perception & Reality moderated by Len Apcar, Deputy Managing Editor & Chief Editor for Asia, IHT and used the opportunity to talk about Sustainable Futures 09, the latest piece of research from Havas Media Intelligence on consumer perception of sustainability.

Using new data from the research gathered during the economic downturn, we showed that sustainability issues featured in four of the top five concerns across all markets in the research and that emerging markets such as China, India and Brazil are more concerned with these issues than developed markets such as US, UK and Germany. In fact, consumers from emerging markets actively reward environmentally and socially responsible companies.

We highlighted that luxury brands looking to emerging market consumers to provide much-needed growth to offset large declines in traditional US and European markets, need to be acutely aware of the new brand drivers that are increasingly influencing the purchasing/repurchasing choices of these emerging markets consumers.

In addition to high levels of engagement with traditional luxury brand drivers like heritage and quality, consumers in emerging markets are increasingly showing extremely high levels of engagement with other issues, for example, the area of sustainability. Retailers that move quickly to capitalise on this, will be more adept at building greater brand equity and thus greater commercial success, both in the medium and long term.

Look out for some photos from the event in the coming days!

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Last month, I spoke at the Columbia University GSB Centre for Brand Leadership’s BRITE conference, alongside people like Seth Godin and Jeff Jarvis. It was a great conference, drawing together themes from branding, innovation, media, and technology.

The topic of my talk was Innovation 2.0. Orthodox approaches to innovation aren’t worth as much as they used to be. In finance, for example, orthodox product and service innovation was a driving force behind industry meltdown. How do we rethink innovation to meet the new challenges of the 21st century?

When the video of my talk is up, you’ll be able to see my thoughts on next-generation innovation. Until then, here are some references to and summaries (another one) of my talk. 

Thanks to David Rogers and the BRITE crew for having me - it was awesome!!

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Today, the global economy is in shock. And capitalism is changing. Recently, I gave a talk at the awesome Daytona Sessions about our vision for the next generation of capitalism: Constructive Capitalism.

It’s a revolution that’s already being ignited by innovators as disparate as Wal-Mart, Google, Threadless, Nike, Apple, and Etsy. They’re playing by a new set of institutional rules - institutional rules that are letting them redraw the boundaries of value creation, while yesterday’s incumbents continue to fail en masse. These rules depend, in large part, on media.

I’ve given a similar talk several times both internally and externally, but the Daytona guys have been kind enough to put up a high-quality video of the whole session. Here are two interviews I gave afterwards (published in Swedish, translated via Google :)

Enjoy - and thanks to the Daytona guys, I had a great time and many productive discussions.

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My latest post on the macroeconomic crisis - The Smart Growth Manifesto - is currently the cover story at Harvard Business.

If you’re interested in the deeper causes of the crisis - and how to begin addressing them - have a read and feel free to comment away.

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It’s hard to escape the constant ratcheting-up of rhetoric around the economic crisis over the last few months.In the context of sustainability, we’ve seen a flurry of reports and papers on whether sustainability and CSR will survive during the downturn, then the recession and now the economic crisis.But whilst the titles keep on changing, one thing seems to remain constant: that everyone makes an argument for hanging in there with sustainability endeavours, even in this climate, because they’ll pay dividends in the long run when everything picks up.Well, what if that is flawed? I don’t mean in the sense that they would not pay off in the upturn. But rather if there is no upturn? Every piece of literature seems to assume everything will return to normal at some point; that any corporate strategising around sustainability can assume those same constructs that have stood until now. But they’re not standing at the moment and there’s more than a chance that we’re witnessing the irreparable breakdown of the current model. In which case, these basic tenets on which corporate strategy is being based, need to be reviewed. Joseph Schumpeter (1954) coined a great term for this: preanalytic vision. In other words, before any analysis can be carried out, there has to be something to analyse - a vision. And once that vision has been defined, anything that lies outside of it, cannot be recaptured during the analysis. So is there an argument to say we need to revise our preanalytic vision? Is the very concept of the system being irreparably damaged outside our current vision? Looking at the wealth of ’stick with sustainability’ strategies being touted by consultants at the moment, the answer seems to be yes.This has to be a disaster.We’re at a defining moment in the way societies view business and how business has to service society and sustainability can play a pivotal role in bringing about these transformations. But in order for that to happen, sustainable strategising must not lean on the conventional tenets - the preanalytic vision of organisational strategy - thinking this bring about the necessary change.We have to recognise that maybe this is not a downturn, but instead represents a glimpse of the new status quo. How must business adapt to that?

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